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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
376John Cornyn
R-TX · Senate
Real estate$775k60% (113)-3[-12, +5]-4vs 65%CI ∋ 0
377Shelley Moore Capito
R-WV · Senate
Banking$50k70% (69)-3[-15, +6]+0vs 70%CI ∋ 0
378Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Electric utilities$125k80% (40)-3[-18, +7]+0vs 80%CI ∋ 0
379Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Tech$100k90% (30)+3[-13, +10]+7vs 83%CI ∋ 0
380Jon Ossoff
D-GA · Senate
Food & beverage$100k70% (10)+3[-27, +22]+3vs 67%CI ∋ 0
381Joni Ernst
R-IA · Senate
Financial services$50k67% (108)+3[-7, +11]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
382Adrian Smith
R-NE · House
Banking$185k89% (9)+3[-29, +12]+11vs 78%CI ∋ 0
383Cliff Bentz
R-OR · House
Electric utilities$145k80% (40)-3[-18, +7]+0vs 80%CI ∋ 0
384Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Electric utilities$50k80% (40)-3[-18, +7]+0vs 80%CI ∋ 0
385Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Electric utilities$90k28% (40)+3[-9, +18]-52vs 80%CI ∋ 0
386August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Electric utilities$200k80% (40)-3[-18, +7]+0vs 80%CI ∋ 0
387August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Financial services$85k93% (29)+3[-12, +8]+10vs 83%CI ∋ 0
388Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Electric utilities$90k80% (40)-3[-18, +7]+0vs 80%CI ∋ 0
389Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Labor unions$500k52% (83)-3[-14, +7]-3vs 55%CI ∋ 0
390Bryan Steil
R-WI · House
Financial services$400k93% (29)+3[-12, +8]+10vs 83%CI ∋ 0
391Abraham Hamadeh
R-AZ · House
Electric utilities$160k86% (7)+3[-34, +14]+6vs 80%CI ∋ 0
392Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Financial services$750k93% (29)+3[-12, +8]+10vs 83%CI ∋ 0
393Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Tech$50k60% (30)+3[-15, +18]-23vs 83%CI ∋ 0
394Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Financial services$200k93% (29)+3[-12, +8]+10vs 83%CI ∋ 0
395Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Tech$200k90% (30)+3[-13, +10]+7vs 83%CI ∋ 0
396Barry Loudermilk
R-GA · House
Electric utilities$50k86% (7)+3[-34, +14]+6vs 80%CI ∋ 0
397Ashley Moody
R-FL · Senate
Financial services$50k61% (28)-3[-22, +12]+0vs 61%CI ∋ 0
398Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Defense & aerospace$50k55% (11)-3[-30, +21]-12vs 67%CI ∋ 0
399Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Electric utilities$123k86% (7)+3[-34, +14]+6vs 80%CI ∋ 0
400Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Financial services$75k93% (29)+3[-12, +8]+10vs 83%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.