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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
351Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Financial services$800k86% (29)-4[-21, +5]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
352Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Banking$480k82% (22)-4[-24, +7]+4vs 78%CI ∋ 0
353Brian Schatz
D-HI · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k63% (27)-4[-23, +12]-3vs 67%CI ∋ 0
354Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Financial services$354k86% (29)-4[-21, +5]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
355Brittany Pettersen
D-CO · House
Banking$486k41% (22)-4[-22, +16]-37vs 78%CI ∋ 0
356Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Banking$50k82% (22)-4[-24, +7]+4vs 78%CI ∋ 0
357Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Pharmaceutical$50k67% (24)-4[-24, +11]+13vs 54%CI ∋ 0
358Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Financial services$55k86% (29)-4[-21, +5]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
359Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Pharmaceutical$120k67% (9)-4[-36, +17]+13vs 54%CI ∋ 0
360Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Defense & aerospace$125k53% (43)+4[-10, +19]-24vs 77%CI ∋ 0
361Daniel Meuser
R-PA · House
Banking$87k82% (22)-4[-24, +7]+4vs 78%CI ∋ 0
362Daniel Meuser
R-PA · House
Tech$60k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
363Craig Goldman
R-TX · House
Pharmaceutical$65k67% (9)-4[-36, +17]+13vs 54%CI ∋ 0
364Darren Soto
D-FL · House
Defense & aerospace$150k53% (43)+4[-10, +19]-24vs 77%CI ∋ 0
365Dave Min
D-CA · House
Renewable energy$50k35% (26)+4[-12, +23]-42vs 77%CI ∋ 0
366David Joyce
R-OH · House
Pharmaceutical$50k67% (9)-4[-36, +17]+13vs 54%CI ∋ 0
367Earl Carter
R-GA · House
Pharmaceutical$1.1M67% (9)-4[-36, +17]+13vs 54%CI ∋ 0
368Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Pharmaceutical$50k46% (24)+4[-14, +23]-8vs 54%CI ∋ 0
369Lisa McClain
R-MI · House
Financial services$50k86% (29)-4[-21, +5]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
370Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Pharmaceutical$718k75% (24)+4[-16, +17]+21vs 54%CI ∋ 0
371Marilyn Strickland
D-WA · House
Defense & aerospace$150k53% (43)+4[-10, +19]-24vs 77%CI ∋ 0
372Tom Barrett
R-MI · House
Tech$100k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
373Mario Diaz-Balart
R-FL · House
Tech$85k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
374John Hickenlooper
D-CO · Senate
Auto$100k38% (24)-4[-21, +15]-25vs 63%CI ∋ 0
375Cynthia Lummis
R-WY · Senate
Real estate$100k67% (6)+4[-33, +27]+3vs 65%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.