Skip to main content
PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
326Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Banking$50k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
327Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Banking$50k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
328Ed Case
D-HI · House
Construction$75k55% (20)+5[-16, +24]-10vs 65%CI ∋ 0
329Jim Costa
D-CA · House
Banking$75k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
330Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Banking$130k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
331Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Defense & aerospace$80k74% (43)-5[-19, +6]-3vs 77%CI ∋ 0
332Marilyn Strickland
D-WA · House
Health insurance$200k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
333Marilyn Strickland
D-WA · House
Banking$125k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
334Marilyn Strickland
D-WA · House
Electric utilities$50k30% (40)+5[-7, +20]-50vs 80%CI ∋ 0
335Jim Costa
D-CA · House
Agriculture$710k76% (17)+5[-18, +19]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
336Tom Barrett
R-MI · House
Agriculture$100k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
337John Garamendi
D-CA · House
Construction$110k45% (20)-5[-24, +16]-20vs 65%CI ∋ 0
338Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Pharmaceutical$50k20% (20)-4[-16, +17]-24vs 44%CI ∋ 0
339Deb Fischer
R-NE · Senate
Auto$50k70% (37)+5[-11, +17]+7vs 63%CI ∋ 0
340Anna Luna
R-FL · House
Financial services$64k86% (29)-4[-21, +5]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
341Jon Ossoff
D-GA · Senate
Labor unions$350k59% (22)+4[-16, +22]+4vs 55%CI ∋ 0
342Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Renewable energy$250k81% (26)-4[-23, +7]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
343Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Oil & gas$150k77% (47)-4[-18, +5]-4vs 81%CI ∋ 0
344Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Tech$100k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
345Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Tech$130k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
346Ami Bera
D-CA · House
Pharmaceutical$248k46% (24)+4[-14, +23]-8vs 54%CI ∋ 0
347Ami Bera
D-CA · House
Financial services$70k38% (29)+4[-11, +22]-45vs 83%CI ∋ 0
348Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Tech$100k83% (30)-4[-21, +6]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
349Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Renewable energy$90k35% (26)+4[-12, +23]-42vs 77%CI ∋ 0
350August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Pharmaceutical$195k75% (24)+4[-16, +17]+21vs 54%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.