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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
301Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Construction$110k45% (20)-5[-24, +16]-20vs 65%CI ∋ 0
302Lauren Underwood
D-IL · House
Health insurance$200k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
303Brittany Pettersen
D-CO · House
Construction$81k45% (20)-5[-24, +16]-20vs 65%CI ∋ 0
304Bryan Steil
R-WI · House
Banking$300k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
305Burgess Owens
R-UT · House
Banking$150k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
306Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Banking$600k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
307Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Banking$50k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
308Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Construction$150k65% (20)-5[-27, +12]+0vs 65%CI ∋ 0
309Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Banking$75k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
310Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Construction$50k55% (20)+5[-16, +24]-10vs 65%CI ∋ 0
311Bradley Schneider
D-IL · House
Electric utilities$200k30% (40)+5[-7, +20]-50vs 80%CI ∋ 0
312Bradley Schneider
D-IL · House
Construction$100k55% (20)+5[-16, +24]-10vs 65%CI ∋ 0
313Chrissy Houlahan
D-PA · House
Health insurance$125k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
314Chuck Edwards
R-NC · House
Defense & aerospace$85k74% (43)-5[-19, +6]-3vs 77%CI ∋ 0
315Chuck Edwards
R-NC · House
Agriculture$50k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
316Claudia Tenney
R-NY · House
Banking$50k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
317Daniel Meuser
R-PA · House
Construction$135k65% (20)-5[-27, +12]+0vs 65%CI ∋ 0
318Darrell Issa
R-CA · House
Banking$50k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
319Darrell Issa
R-CA · House
Agriculture$50k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
320David Taylor
R-OH · House
Banking$135k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
321David Valadao
R-CA · House
Agriculture$100k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
322David Valadao
R-CA · House
Construction$100k65% (20)-5[-27, +12]+0vs 65%CI ∋ 0
323Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Banking$152k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
324Derek Tran
D-CA · House
Health insurance$50k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
325Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Health insurance$75k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.