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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
226Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Defense & aerospace$175k72% (43)-7[-22, +4]-5vs 77%CI ∋ 0
227Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Telecom$135k67% (15)+7[-18, +25]-6vs 73%CI ∋ 0
228Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Financial services$150k83% (12)-7[-35, +5]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
229John Joyce
R-PA · House
Pharmaceutical$670k78% (9)+7[-26, +23]+24vs 54%CI ∋ 0
230Byron Donalds
R-FL · House
Financial services$70k83% (29)-7[-24, +2]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
231Beth Van Duyne
R-TX · House
Financial services$150k83% (12)-7[-35, +5]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
232Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Renewable energy$50k53% (17)-7[-29, +14]+0vs 53%CI ∋ 0
233Beth Van Duyne
R-TX · House
Pharmaceutical$100k78% (9)+7[-26, +23]+24vs 54%CI ∋ 0
234Brad Knott
R-NC · House
Financial services$135k83% (29)-7[-24, +2]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
235Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Financial services$660k41% (29)+7[-8, +25]-42vs 83%CI ∋ 0
236Christopher Coons
D-DE · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k74% (43)+7[-7, +18]+8vs 67%CI ∋ 0
237Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Financial services$100k71% (65)+7[-5, +16]+10vs 61%CI ∋ 0
238Cory Booker
D-NJ · Senate
Food & beverage$100k74% (23)+7[-13, +21]+7vs 67%CI ∋ 0
239Cory Booker
D-NJ · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k74% (27)+7[-12, +20]+8vs 67%CI ∋ 0
240Daniel Meuser
R-PA · House
Oil & gas$100k74% (47)-7[-20, +4]-7vs 81%CI ∋ 0
241Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Financial services$50k41% (29)+7[-8, +25]-42vs 83%CI ∋ 0
242Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Financial services$60k83% (29)-7[-24, +2]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
243Derek Tran
D-CA · House
Renewable energy$50k38% (26)+7[-9, +27]-39vs 77%CI ∋ 0
244Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Financial services$90k41% (29)+7[-8, +25]-42vs 83%CI ∋ 0
245Elise Stefanik
R-NY · House
Financial services$140k83% (29)-7[-24, +2]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
246Lindsey Graham
R-SC · Senate
Tech$50k53% (94)-7[-17, +3]-7vs 60%CI ∋ 0
247Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Tech$75k80% (30)-7[-24, +4]-3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
248Marilyn Strickland
D-WA · House
Financial services$305k41% (29)+7[-8, +25]-42vs 83%CI ∋ 0
249Dale Strong
R-AL · House
Telecom$50k73% (15)-6[-31, +10]+0vs 73%CI ∋ 0
250Richard Hudson
R-NC · House
Telecom$180k73% (15)-6[-31, +10]+0vs 73%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.