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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
251Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Telecom$100k73% (15)-6[-31, +10]+0vs 73%CI ∋ 0
252Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Telecom$80k73% (15)-6[-31, +10]+0vs 73%CI ∋ 0
253Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Telecom$50k73% (15)-6[-31, +10]+0vs 73%CI ∋ 0
254Shelley Moore Capito
R-WV · Senate
Electric utilities$50k79% (107)+6[-3, +12]+7vs 72%CI ∋ 0
255Adam Smith
D-WA · House
Health insurance$75k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
256Addison McDowell
R-NC · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k76% (17)-6[-29, +8]+5vs 71%CI ∋ 0
257Becca Balint
D-VT · House
Agriculture$65k65% (17)-6[-30, +12]-11vs 76%CI ∋ 0
258Adriano Espaillat
D-NY · House
Tech$90k63% (30)+6[-11, +21]-20vs 83%CI ∋ 0
259Susie Lee
D-NV · House
Health insurance$100k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
260Joyce Beatty
D-OH · House
Health insurance$75k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
261Adriano Espaillat
D-NY · House
Agriculture$50k65% (17)-6[-30, +12]-11vs 76%CI ∋ 0
262Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Agriculture$50k65% (17)-6[-30, +12]-11vs 76%CI ∋ 0
263Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Health insurance$70k61% (18)-6[-28, +13]+0vs 61%CI ∋ 0
264André Carson
D-IN · House
Health insurance$120k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
265Brian Schatz
D-HI · Senate
Food & beverage$100k73% (30)+6[-11, +19]+6vs 67%CI ∋ 0
266Laurel Lee
R-FL · House
Oil & gas$150k75% (12)-6[-34, +10]-6vs 81%CI ∋ 0
267Byron Donalds
R-FL · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k76% (17)-6[-29, +8]+5vs 71%CI ∋ 0
268Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Health insurance$50k61% (18)-6[-28, +13]+0vs 61%CI ∋ 0
269Brad Knott
R-NC · House
Health insurance$70k61% (18)-6[-28, +13]+0vs 61%CI ∋ 0
270Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$80k53% (17)-6[-28, +15]-18vs 71%CI ∋ 0
271Brendan Boyle
D-PA · House
Health insurance$85k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
272Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Transportation$100k48% (29)-6[-23, +12]-17vs 65%CI ∋ 0
273Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Tech$100k66% (47)+6[-8, +18]+6vs 60%CI ∋ 0
274Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k53% (17)-6[-28, +15]-18vs 71%CI ∋ 0
275Donald Norcross
D-NJ · House
Health insurance$75k33% (18)-6[-23, +17]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.