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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
576Alex Padilla
D-CA · Senate
Tech$165k51% (41)low-n party-9vs 60%Preliminary
577Alex Padilla
D-CA · Senate
Agriculture$100k53% (30)low-n party-7vs 60%Preliminary
578Alex Padilla
D-CA · Senate
Telecom$90k79% (14)low-n party+13vs 66%Preliminary
579Ami Bera
D-CA · House
Agriculture$75k71% (17)+0[-24, +16]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
580Ami Bera
D-CA · House
Hospitals & healthcare$100k50% (8)+0[-28, +29]-25vs 75%CI ∋ 0
581Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Real estate$90k67% (6)+0[-37, +23]-16vs 83%CI ∋ 0
582Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Banking$140k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
583Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Construction$95k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
584Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Auto$205k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
585Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Health insurance$140k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
586Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Defense & aerospace$60k79% (43)+0[-14, +10]+2vs 77%CI ∋ 0
587Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Construction$190k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
588Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Hospitals & healthcare$100k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]+0vs 75%CI ∋ 0
589Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Pharmaceutical$85k71% (24)+0[-20, +14]+17vs 54%CI ∋ 0
590Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Banking$60k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
591Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Transportation$70k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
592Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Real estate$60k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
593Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Real estate$150k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
594Amy Klobuchar
D-MN · Senate
Agriculture$480k61% (185)low-n party+1vs 60%Preliminary
595Amy Klobuchar
D-MN · Senate
Renewable energy$50k60% (202)low-n party+7vs 53%Preliminary
596Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Labor unions$410k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
597Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Auto$100k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
598Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Hospitals & healthcare$100k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]+0vs 75%CI ∋ 0
599Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Health insurance$50k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
600Elijah Crane
R-AZ · House
Labor unions$70k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.