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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
426Laurel Lee
R-FL · House
Banking$50k89% (9)+3[-29, +12]+11vs 78%CI ∋ 0
427John Barrasso
R-WY · Senate
Telecom$50k61% (64)-3[-15, +8]-5vs 66%CI ∋ 0
428John Hickenlooper
D-CO · Senate
Food & beverage$150k70% (10)+3[-27, +22]+3vs 67%CI ∋ 0
429John Joyce
R-PA · House
Electric utilities$150k86% (7)+3[-34, +14]+6vs 80%CI ∋ 0
430Amy Klobuchar
D-MN · Senate
Health insurance$100k65% (279)+3[-4, +7]+13vs 53%CI ∋ 0
431Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Oil & gas$50k64% (33)-2[-20, +11]+0vs 64%CI ∋ 0
432Cynthia Lummis
R-WY · Senate
Auto$50k63% (24)-2[-23, +13]+0vs 63%CI ∋ 0
433Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Defense & aerospace$310k77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0
434Adrian Smith
R-NE · House
Renewable energy$50k83% (6)-2[-41, +12]+6vs 77%CI ∋ 0
435Adrian Smith
R-NE · House
Financial services$250k92% (12)+2[-25, +9]+9vs 83%CI ∋ 0
436Adrian Smith
R-NE · House
Oil & gas$200k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
437David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Defense & aerospace$75k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
438David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Oil & gas$55k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
439Amy Klobuchar
D-MN · Senate
Labor unions$150k57% (101)+2[-7, +12]+2vs 55%CI ∋ 0
440Dan Sullivan
R-AK · Senate
Telecom$150k66% (35)+2[-15, +15]+0vs 66%CI ∋ 0
441Bill Hagerty
R-TN · Senate
Banking$68k75% (40)+2[-13, +13]+5vs 70%CI ∋ 0
442Carlos Gimenez
R-FL · House
Defense & aerospace$264k77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0
443Charles Schumer
D-NY · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$64k65% (69)-2[-14, +8]-1vs 67%CI ∋ 0
444Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Defense & aerospace$100k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
445Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Defense & aerospace$50k77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0
446Beth Van Duyne
R-TX · House
Oil & gas$200k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
447Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Defense & aerospace$100k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
448Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Oil & gas$50k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
449Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Oil & gas$100k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
450Dale Strong
R-AL · House
Defense & aerospace$126k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.