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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
151Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k71% (17)-11[-35, +5]+0vs 71%CI ∋ 0
152Dan Sullivan
R-AK · Senate
Transportation$200k65% (52)+11[-2, +23]+0vs 65%CI ∋ 0
153Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Financial services$135k45% (29)+11[-6, +29]-38vs 83%CI ∋ 0
154April McClain Delaney
D-MD · House
Electric utilities$50k14% (7)-11[-22, +26]-66vs 80%CI ∋ 0
155Bradley Schneider
D-IL · House
Financial services$74k45% (29)+11[-6, +29]-38vs 83%CI ∋ 0
156Burgess Owens
R-UT · House
Health insurance$50k56% (18)-11[-33, +8]-5vs 61%CI ∋ 0
157Christopher Coons
D-DE · Senate
Labor unions$150k44% (68)-11[-22, +1]-11vs 55%CI ∋ 0
158Abraham Hamadeh
R-AZ · House
Defense & aerospace$90k90% (10)+11[-19, +19]+13vs 77%CI ∋ 0
159Andrew Ogles
R-TN · House
Financial services$103k79% (29)-11[-28, +0]-4vs 83%CI ∋ 0
160Christopher Coons
D-DE · Senate
Auto$50k53% (45)+11[-3, +25]-10vs 63%CI ∋ 0
161Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k71% (17)-11[-35, +5]+0vs 71%CI ∋ 0
162Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Defense & aerospace$120k90% (10)+11[-19, +19]+13vs 77%CI ∋ 0
163Beth Van Duyne
R-TX · House
Health insurance$150k78% (9)+11[-22, +27]+17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
164Brian Babin
R-TX · House
Health insurance$108k78% (9)+11[-22, +27]+17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
165Chris Pappas
D-NH · House
Health insurance$250k50% (18)+11[-10, +32]-11vs 61%CI ∋ 0
166Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Food & beverage$50k22% (9)-11[-27, +22]-45vs 67%CI ∋ 0
167Dale Strong
R-AL · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$65k71% (17)-11[-35, +5]+0vs 71%CI ∋ 0
168Darren Soto
D-FL · House
Health insurance$80k50% (18)+11[-10, +32]-11vs 61%CI ∋ 0
169David Joyce
R-OH · House
Defense & aerospace$405k90% (10)+11[-19, +19]+13vs 77%CI ∋ 0
170Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Agriculture$205k65% (17)-11[-35, +7]-11vs 76%CI ∋ 0
171Elise Stefanik
R-NY · House
Agriculture$50k65% (17)-11[-35, +7]-11vs 76%CI ∋ 0
172Ed Case
D-HI · House
Health insurance$75k50% (18)+11[-10, +32]-11vs 61%CI ∋ 0
173Diana DeGette
D-CO · House
Electric utilities$75k14% (7)-11[-22, +26]-66vs 80%CI ∋ 0
174Joe Courtney
D-CT · House
Electric utilities$75k14% (7)-11[-22, +26]-66vs 80%CI ∋ 0
175John Joyce
R-PA · House
Health insurance$150k78% (9)+11[-22, +27]+17vs 61%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.