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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
801Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Transportation$50k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]-13vs 88%CI ∋ 0
802Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Telecom$102k60% (15)+0[-24, +20]-13vs 73%CI ∋ 0
803Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Pharmaceutical$57k42% (24)+0[-17, +19]-12vs 54%CI ∋ 0
804Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Labor unions$200k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
805Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Health insurance$180k39% (18)+0[-19, +22]-22vs 61%CI ∋ 0
806Darrell Issa
R-CA · House
Auto$50k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
807Dave Min
D-CA · House
Labor unions$233k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
808David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Agriculture$168k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
809David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Construction$162k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
810David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Transportation$146k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
811David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Financial services$257k90% (29)+0[-16, +6]+7vs 83%CI ∋ 0
812David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Health insurance$189k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
813David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Transportation$158k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
814David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Real estate$135k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
815David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Construction$135k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
816David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Banking$104k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
817David Schweikert
R-AZ · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$86k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0
818David Taylor
R-OH · House
Agriculture$119k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
819David Taylor
R-OH · House
Construction$74k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
820Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$100k59% (17)+0[-23, +19]-12vs 71%CI ∋ 0
821Earl Carter
R-GA · House
Health insurance$450k67% (9)+0[-32, +21]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
822Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Labor unions$55k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0
823Ed Case
D-HI · House
Defense & aerospace$76k49% (43)+0[-14, +14]-28vs 77%CI ∋ 0
824Ed Case
D-HI · House
Labor unions$515k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
825Ed Markey
D-MA · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$100k67% (27)+0[-19, +14]+1vs 67%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.