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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
826Ed Markey
D-MA · Senate
Auto$50k42% (36)+0[-15, +16]-21vs 63%CI ∋ 0
827Elise Stefanik
R-NY · House
Tech$100k87% (30)+0[-17, +8]+4vs 83%CI ∋ 0
828Elise Stefanik
R-NY · House
Auto$50k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
829Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Transportation$450k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
830Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Agriculture$285k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
831Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Construction$150k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
832Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Banking$55k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
833Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Auto$55k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
834Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Auto$175k33% (6)low-n party-67vs 100%Preliminary
835Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Banking$140k45% (22)+0[-18, +20]-33vs 78%CI ∋ 0
836Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Hospitals & healthcare$125k50% (8)+0[-28, +29]-25vs 75%CI ∋ 0
837Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Telecom$110k60% (15)+0[-24, +20]-13vs 73%CI ∋ 0
838Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Transportation$50k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]-13vs 88%CI ∋ 0
839Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Education$30k57% (7)+0[-32, +27]+0vs 57%CI ∋ 0
840Lindsey Graham
R-SC · Senate
Labor unions$220k63% (101)low-n party+8vs 55%Preliminary
841Lindsey Graham
R-SC · Senate
Financial services$50k64% (28)+0[-18, +15]+3vs 61%CI ∋ 0
842Lisa McClain
R-MI · House
Agriculture$50k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
843Lisa Murkowski
R-AK · Senate
Labor unions$165k61% (101)low-n party+6vs 55%Preliminary
844Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Construction$125k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
845Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0
846Derek Schmidt
R-KS · House
Health insurance$50k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
847Lloyd Smucker
R-PA · House
Agriculture$50k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
848Lloyd Smucker
R-PA · House
Oil & gas$50k81% (47)+0[-13, +9]+0vs 81%CI ∋ 0
849Lisa McClain
R-MI · House
Education$100k57% (7)low-n party+0vs 57%Preliminary
850Lloyd Smucker
R-PA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.