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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
776David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Electric utilities$70k83% (40)+0[-15, +8]+3vs 80%CI ∋ 0
777David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Auto$65k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
778David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$55k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0
779David Rouzer
R-NC · House
Renewable energy$50k85% (26)+0[-18, +9]+8vs 77%CI ∋ 0
780David Taylor
R-OH · House
Transportation$85k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
781David Taylor
R-OH · House
Renewable energy$75k85% (26)+0[-18, +9]+8vs 77%CI ∋ 0
782David Taylor
R-OH · House
Hospitals & healthcare$50k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]+0vs 75%CI ∋ 0
783David Valadao
R-CA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0
784Deb Fischer
R-NE · Senate
Labor unions$835k66% (53)low-n party+11vs 55%Preliminary
785Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Construction$50k50% (20)+0[-20, +20]-15vs 65%CI ∋ 0
786Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Agriculture$120k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
787Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Renewable energy$120k85% (26)+0[-18, +9]+8vs 77%CI ∋ 0
788Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Construction$80k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
789Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Auto$80k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
790Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Construction$95k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
791Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Labor unions$430k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
792Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$100k59% (17)+0[-23, +19]-12vs 71%CI ∋ 0
793Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Hospitals & healthcare$75k50% (8)+0[-28, +29]-25vs 75%CI ∋ 0
794Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Telecom$50k60% (15)+0[-24, +20]-13vs 73%CI ∋ 0
795Derek Tran
D-CA · House
Labor unions$440k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
796Derek Tran
D-CA · House
Transportation$220k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]-13vs 88%CI ∋ 0
797Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Real estate$50k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
798Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Labor unions$340k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
799Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Defense & aerospace$100k49% (43)+0[-14, +14]-28vs 77%CI ∋ 0
800Donald Beyer
D-VA · House
Construction$100k50% (20)+0[-20, +20]-15vs 65%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.