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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
51Diana DeGette
D-CO · House
Tech$150k29% (7)-28[-49, +7]-54vs 83%CI ∋ 0
52Joe Courtney
D-CT · House
Tech$115k29% (7)-28[-49, +7]-54vs 83%CI ∋ 0
53Joyce Beatty
D-OH · House
Electric utilities$200k0% (7)-25[-25, +10]-80vs 80%CI ∋ 0
54Adelita Grijalva
D-AZ · House
Banking$100k20% (5)-25[-41, +17]-58vs 78%CI ∋ 0
55Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Agriculture$50k25% (8)-23[-41, +11]-35vs 60%CI ∋ 0
56Bonnie Watson Coleman
D-NJ · House
Pharmaceutical$325k22% (9)-20[-36, +13]-32vs 54%CI ∋ 0
57Linda Sánchez
D-CA · House
Pharmaceutical$90k22% (9)-20[-36, +13]-32vs 54%CI ∋ 0
58Diana DeGette
D-CO · House
Pharmaceutical$660k22% (9)-20[-36, +13]-32vs 54%CI ∋ 0
59Jim Costa
D-CA · House
Construction$155k70% (20)+20[-2, +36]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
60Elise Stefanik
R-NY · House
Telecom$50k60% (15)-19[-44, +1]-13vs 73%CI ∋ 0
61Adelita Grijalva
D-AZ · House
Labor unions$1.3M67% (6)-19[-56, +4]-4vs 71%CI ∋ 0
62Barry Loudermilk
R-GA · House
Banking$47k67% (9)-19[-51, +2]-11vs 78%CI ∋ 0
63Addison McDowell
R-NC · House
Agriculture$50k59% (17)-17[-40, +2]-17vs 76%CI ∋ 0
64Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Agriculture$108k59% (17)-17[-40, +2]-17vs 76%CI ∋ 0
65Lauren Boebert
R-CO · House
Agriculture$57k59% (17)-17[-40, +2]-17vs 76%CI ∋ 0
66Brad Knott
R-NC · House
Agriculture$75k59% (17)-17[-40, +2]-17vs 76%CI ∋ 0
67Linda Sánchez
D-CA · House
Health insurance$90k22% (9)-17[-33, +16]-39vs 61%CI ∋ 0
68Diana DeGette
D-CO · House
Health insurance$650k22% (9)-17[-33, +16]-39vs 61%CI ∋ 0
69Marie Perez
D-WA · House
Agriculture$50k88% (17)+17[-5, +26]+12vs 76%CI ∋ 0
70Mark DeSaulnier
D-CA · House
Real estate$55k50% (6)-17[-48, +14]-33vs 83%CI ∋ 0
71John Garamendi
D-CA · House
Real estate$65k50% (6)-17[-48, +14]-33vs 83%CI ∋ 0
72Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Real estate$45k83% (6)+16[-23, +30]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
73Suzan DelBene
D-WA · House
Real estate$190k83% (6)+16[-23, +30]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
74August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Real estate$90k67% (6)-16[-53, +7]-16vs 83%CI ∋ 0
75Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Real estate$85k83% (6)+16[-23, +30]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.