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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
476John Garamendi
D-CA · House
Defense & aerospace$195k51% (43)+2[-12, +16]-26vs 77%CI ∋ 0
477John Joyce
R-PA · House
Oil & gas$250k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
478Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Health insurance$194k64% (232)+2[-5, +8]+12vs 53%CI ∋ 0
479Charles Schumer
D-NY · Senate
Health insurance$100k64% (279)+2[-4, +7]+12vs 53%CI ∋ 0
480Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Auto$500k64% (14)-1[-27, +18]+1vs 63%CI ∋ 0
481Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Auto$50k67% (27)+2[-18, +16]+4vs 63%CI ∋ 0
482Adam Smith
D-WA · House
Financial services$75k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
483Richard Blumenthal
D-CT · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$65k66% (41)-1[-16, +11]0vs 67%CI ∋ 0
484Susie Lee
D-NV · House
Banking$200k44% (9)-1[-26, +28]-34vs 78%CI ∋ 0
485Susie Lee
D-NV · House
Financial services$50k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
486Alma Adams
D-NC · House
Banking$150k44% (9)-1[-26, +28]-34vs 78%CI ∋ 0
487Alma Adams
D-NC · House
Financial services$260k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
488Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k68% (59)+1[-12, +11]+2vs 67%CI ∋ 0
489André Carson
D-IN · House
Financial services$50k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
490Ashley Moody
R-FL · Senate
Banking$50k74% (23)+1[-19, +15]+4vs 70%CI ∋ 0
491Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Banking$150k74% (23)+1[-19, +15]+4vs 70%CI ∋ 0
492Beth Van Duyne
R-TX · House
Tech$340k86% (7)-1[-38, +10]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
493Daniel Goldman
D-NY · House
Financial services$975k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
494Daniel Webster
R-FL · House
Tech$120k86% (7)-1[-38, +10]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
495Deb Fischer
R-NE · Senate
Tech$130k59% (66)-1[-13, +10]-1vs 60%CI ∋ 0
496Linda Sánchez
D-CA · House
Financial services$428k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0
497Linda Sánchez
D-CA · House
Banking$90k44% (9)-1[-26, +28]-34vs 78%CI ∋ 0
498Joe Courtney
D-CT · House
Banking$50k44% (9)-1[-26, +28]-34vs 78%CI ∋ 0
499John Joyce
R-PA · House
Tech$100k86% (7)-1[-38, +10]+3vs 83%CI ∋ 0
500John Larson
D-CT · House
Financial services$350k33% (12)-1[-20, +27]-50vs 83%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.