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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
276Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Tech$175k63% (30)+6[-11, +21]-20vs 83%CI ∋ 0
277Ed Case
D-HI · House
Tech$105k63% (30)+6[-11, +21]-20vs 83%CI ∋ 0
278Ed Case
D-HI · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$75k65% (17)+6[-18, +24]-6vs 71%CI ∋ 0
279Eric Crawford
R-AR · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$50k76% (17)-6[-29, +8]+5vs 71%CI ∋ 0
280Lori Trahan
D-MA · House
Tech$130k63% (30)+6[-11, +21]-20vs 83%CI ∋ 0
281Mariannette Miller-Meeks
R-IA · House
Health insurance$150k61% (18)-6[-28, +13]+0vs 61%CI ∋ 0
282Joe Courtney
D-CT · House
Health insurance$175k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
283John Larson
D-CT · House
Health insurance$106k33% (9)-6[-27, +26]-28vs 61%CI ∋ 0
284Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Banking$110k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
285Donald Norcross
D-NJ · House
Construction$38k45% (20)-5[-24, +16]-20vs 65%CI ∋ 0
286Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Agriculture$300k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
287Brad Sherman
D-CA · House
Banking$273k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
288Suzan DelBene
D-WA · House
Health insurance$485k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
289Ami Bera
D-CA · House
Health insurance$66k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
290Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Health insurance$150k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
291Andrea Salinas
D-OR · House
Banking$75k50% (22)+5[-14, +24]-28vs 78%CI ∋ 0
292Andrew Garbarino
R-NY · House
Electric utilities$140k78% (40)-5[-20, +5]-2vs 80%CI ∋ 0
293Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Banking$50k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
294Andy Barr
R-KY · House
Agriculture$50k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
295Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Health insurance$180k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0
296August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Agriculture$398k71% (17)-5[-29, +11]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
297August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Health insurance$135k72% (18)+5[-18, +21]+11vs 61%CI ∋ 0
298August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Construction$100k65% (20)-5[-27, +12]+0vs 65%CI ∋ 0
299August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Banking$100k91% (22)+5[-14, +12]+13vs 78%CI ∋ 0
300Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Health insurance$365k44% (18)+5[-14, +27]-17vs 61%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.