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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
676Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Oil & gas$50k81% (47)+0[-13, +9]+0vs 81%CI ∋ 0
677Ashley Hinson
R-IA · House
Labor unions$50k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0
678Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Lawyers & lobbyists$80k82% (17)+0[-23, +12]+11vs 71%CI ∋ 0
679Ashley Moody
R-FL · Senate
Food & beverage$50k33% (9)+0[-21, +32]-34vs 67%CI ∋ 0
680Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Oil & gas$65k81% (47)+0[-13, +9]+0vs 81%CI ∋ 0
681Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Real estate$50k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
682Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Financial services$200k64% (28)+0[-18, +15]+3vs 61%CI ∋ 0
683Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Tech$50k60% (5)+0[-37, +28]+0vs 60%CI ∋ 0
684Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Coal & mining$50k60% (5)low-n party+0vs 60%Preliminary
685Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Health insurance$50k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
686Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Health insurance$50k19% (27)+0[-11, +18]-33vs 53%CI ∋ 0
687Bernie Moreno
R-OH · Senate
Food & beverage$50k33% (9)+0[-21, +32]-34vs 67%CI ∋ 0
688Christopher Deluzio
D-PA · House
Labor unions$513k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
689Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Health insurance$150k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
690Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Auto$50k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
691Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Agriculture$50k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
692Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Agriculture$750k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
693Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Renewable energy$175k85% (26)+0[-18, +9]+8vs 77%CI ∋ 0
694Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Construction$135k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
695Christopher Smith
R-NJ · House
Health insurance$60k67% (9)+0[-32, +21]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
696Cindy Hyde-Smith
R-MS · Senate
Labor unions$524k50% (28)low-n party-5vs 55%Preliminary
697Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Defense & aerospace$100k79% (43)+0[-14, +10]+2vs 77%CI ∋ 0
698Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Labor unions$100k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0
699Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Auto$100k100% (6)+0[-39, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
700Brad Knott
R-NC · House
Construction$230k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.