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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
601Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Agriculture$383k71% (17)+0[-24, +16]-5vs 76%CI ∋ 0
602Angie Craig
D-MN · House
Chemicals$135k40% (5)low-n party-60vs 100%Preliminary
603Ann Wagner
R-MO · House
Health insurance$100k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
604Ashley Moody
R-FL · Senate
Health insurance$50k19% (27)+0[-11, +18]-33vs 53%CI ∋ 0
605August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Oil & gas$590k81% (47)+0[-13, +9]+0vs 81%CI ∋ 0
606August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Tech$150k87% (30)+0[-17, +8]+4vs 83%CI ∋ 0
607August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Hospitals & healthcare$50k75% (8)+0[-34, +18]+0vs 75%CI ∋ 0
608August Pfluger
R-TX · House
Transportation$50k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
609Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Construction$144k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
610Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Defense & aerospace$90k79% (43)+0[-14, +10]+2vs 77%CI ∋ 0
611Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Electric utilities$120k83% (40)+0[-15, +8]+3vs 80%CI ∋ 0
612Bill Huizenga
R-MI · House
Real estate$120k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
613Blake Moore
R-UT · House
Health insurance$295k67% (9)+0[-32, +21]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
614Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Defense & aerospace$100k79% (43)+0[-14, +10]+2vs 77%CI ∋ 0
615Diana Harshbarger
R-TN · House
Chemicals$85k100% (5)+0[-43, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
616Don Bacon
R-NE · House
Agriculture$108k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
617Ed Markey
D-MA · Senate
Labor unions$4.6M55% (51)+0[-14, +13]+0vs 55%CI ∋ 0
618Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Oil & gas$100k47% (234)low-n party-17vs 64%Preliminary
619Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Transportation$50k65% (109)low-n party+0vs 65%Preliminary
620Jeff Merkley
D-OR · Senate
Hospitals & healthcare$50k63% (197)low-n party+16vs 48%Preliminary
621Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Labor unions$850k86% (7)+0[-37, +11]+15vs 71%CI ∋ 0
622Brian Mast
R-FL · House
Defense & aerospace$135k79% (43)+0[-14, +10]+2vs 77%CI ∋ 0
623Brian Mast
R-FL · House
Labor unions$135k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0
624Brian Mast
R-FL · House
Construction$85k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
625Brian Mast
R-FL · House
Transportation$65k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.