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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
451Brad Finstad
R-MN · House
Oil & gas$75k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
452Brian Babin
R-TX · House
Oil & gas$120k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
453Chuck Edwards
R-NC · House
Oil & gas$50k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
454Cliff Bentz
R-OR · House
Defense & aerospace$70k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
455Cory Booker
D-NJ · Senate
Labor unions$550k53% (51)-2[-15, +11]-2vs 55%CI ∋ 0
456Cory Mills
R-FL · House
Defense & aerospace$100k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
457Craig Goldman
R-TX · House
Financial services$4.4M92% (12)+2[-25, +9]+9vs 83%CI ∋ 0
458Craig Goldman
R-TX · House
Oil & gas$325k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
459David Joyce
R-OH · House
Financial services$175k92% (12)+2[-25, +9]+9vs 83%CI ∋ 0
460Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Oil & gas$112k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
461Darin LaHood
R-IL · House
Defense & aerospace$72k77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0
462Deborah Ross
D-NC · House
Defense & aerospace$150k51% (43)+2[-12, +16]-26vs 77%CI ∋ 0
463Earl Carter
R-GA · House
Oil & gas$50k83% (12)+2[-26, +14]+2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
464Darrell Issa
R-CA · House
Defense & aerospace$75k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
465Deb Fischer
R-NE · Senate
Telecom$285k66% (38)+2[-14, +15]+0vs 66%CI ∋ 0
466Doris Matsui
D-CA · House
Defense & aerospace$100k51% (43)+2[-12, +16]-26vs 77%CI ∋ 0
467Ed Markey
D-MA · Senate
Food & beverage$100k65% (23)-2[-22, +14]-2vs 67%CI ∋ 0
468Laurel Lee
R-FL · House
Financial services$50k92% (12)+2[-25, +9]+9vs 83%CI ∋ 0
469Debbie Dingell
D-MI · House
Defense & aerospace$60k51% (43)+2[-12, +16]-26vs 77%CI ∋ 0
470Lisa McClain
R-MI · House
Defense & aerospace$50k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
471Lisa McClain
R-MI · House
Oil & gas$100k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
472Mario Diaz-Balart
R-FL · House
Oil & gas$50k79% (47)-2[-16, +7]-2vs 81%CI ∋ 0
473Mario Diaz-Balart
R-FL · House
Defense & aerospace$1.0M77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0
474Tim Walberg
R-MI · House
Defense & aerospace$72k81% (43)+2[-12, +11]+4vs 77%CI ∋ 0
475Mark Messmer
R-IN · House
Defense & aerospace$190k77% (43)-2[-17, +8]+0vs 77%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.