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PTP

Money-Vote Gap

Leaderboard

Two views into the gap between PAC dollars in and votes out. Members ranks (member, industry) cells by how far the member's Yes-rate diverges from the median for their own party in the same chamber. Bills ranks bills by revealed-preference subterfuge — industries lobbying to pass the bill while not appearing in its stated subject tags.Methodology →

#MemberIndustryPAC $Yes / nParty Δ (95% CI)Chamber ΔConfidence
526Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Agriculture$100k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
527Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Chemicals$100k100% (5)+0[-43, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
528Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Construction$90k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
529Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Transportation$75k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
530Celeste Maloy
R-UT · House
Real estate$50k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
531Charles Schumer
D-NY · Senate
Labor unions$175k55% (101)+0[-9, +10]+0vs 55%CI ∋ 0
532Charles Schumer
D-NY · Senate
Financial services$50k56% (297)low-n party-5vs 61%Preliminary
533Jon Ossoff
D-GA · Senate
Banking$50k45% (40)low-n party-25vs 70%Preliminary
534Adrian Smith
R-NE · House
Health insurance$200k67% (9)+0[-32, +21]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
535Ben Cline
R-VA · House
Labor unions$125k43% (7)+0[-27, +32]-28vs 71%CI ∋ 0
536Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Agriculture$450k76% (17)+0[-23, +14]+0vs 76%CI ∋ 0
537Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Financial services$305k90% (29)+0[-16, +6]+7vs 83%CI ∋ 0
538Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Banking$150k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
539Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Real estate$150k83% (6)+0[-39, +14]+0vs 83%CI ∋ 0
540Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Construction$135k70% (20)+0[-22, +16]+5vs 65%CI ∋ 0
541Randy Feenstra
R-IA · House
Health insurance$125k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
542Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Health insurance$135k67% (18)+0[-23, +17]+6vs 61%CI ∋ 0
543Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Banking$50k86% (22)+0[-19, +9]+8vs 78%CI ∋ 0
544Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Pharmaceutical$50k71% (24)+0[-20, +14]+17vs 54%CI ∋ 0
545Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Chemicals$50k100% (5)+0[-43, +0]+0vs 100%CI ∋ 0
546Dan Crenshaw
R-TX · House
Transportation$50k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
547Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Electric utilities$215k83% (40)+0[-15, +8]+3vs 80%CI ∋ 0
548Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Oil & gas$175k81% (47)+0[-13, +9]+0vs 81%CI ∋ 0
549Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Transportation$125k88% (8)+0[-35, +10]+0vs 88%CI ∋ 0
550Dan Newhouse
R-WA · House
Renewable energy$120k85% (26)+0[-18, +9]+8vs 77%CI ∋ 0

Members tab — Party Δ (primary) = member's Yes% − party median Yes% on the same industry's bills (same chamber, same cycle), with Wilson 95% confidence bounds. Chamber Δ (secondary, dim) = member's Yes% − chamber median Yes%. Chamber Δ is partisan-biased when the chamber has a partisan majority; shown for context but ranking uses Party Δ.

Sorting: rows are ranked by the lower bound of |Party Δ| at 95% confidence — i.e. the minimum deviation we can claim given the sample size. When the confidence interval on Party Δ crosses zero, the row is marked CI ∋ 0: the direction of the deviation is not confidently signed and the row ranks below all cells with a confidently-signed deviation. This kills the small-sample noise floor that point-estimate ranking lets through.

Confidence column: CI ∋ 0 means direction not confidently signed (Wilson CI on the deviation crosses zero). Preliminary means the direction IS signed but the cell does not pass Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across all leaderboard cells — could be a false positive from running ~1500 tests; treat as suggestive. A severity label (Slight / Moderate / High / Extreme) means the cell is BOTH confidently signed AND passes FDR — the rigorous-stats-claim tier.

Min 5 votes per cell, ≥$1 in industry PAC dollars. Min 5 same-party members in the pool for Party Δ; rows below that floor show "low-n party" and rank by Chamber Δ. See docs/audits/mvg-partisan-median-artifact-2026-05-14.md (party-conditional fix) and docs/audits/mvg-wilson-ci-2026-05-15.md (Wilson CI rigor) for the methodology audits.

Bills tab: subterfuge_score = Σ over unstated supporters of (1 + log₁₀(filings)). See methodology for the full audit.